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Red357
1102169.8
4080112.4
1261131.6
Blue106
7076104.6
5293103.5
4509128.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132150100400500600357106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.80.9
149.6150.6
Auto18.4
Teleop127.3
End26.4
red by 41.5
4509
#25
128.31.3
120.7122.0
Auto12.1
Teleop102.1
End15.0
Second
131.60.3
123.9124.2
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
red by 27.0
7076
#28
104.60.9
102.7103.5
Auto14.2
Teleop82.6
End11.8
Third
4080
#17
112.40.5
102.5102.0
Auto13.9
Teleop88.3
End12.4
red by 9.0
5293
#27
103.51.6
106.5104.9
Auto14.9
Teleop81.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed