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Red83
5651100.1
5332113.7
369494.7
Blue431
4026154.7
3573126.0
1795125.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159338010020030040050060083431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5332
#34
113.70.7
116.5115.8
Auto15.2
Teleop88.2
End11.1
blue by 41.0
154.70.1
146.8146.7
Auto19.5
Teleop125.7
End8.2
Second
5651
#31
100.10.6
101.3101.9
Auto15.3
Teleop73.3
End13.0
blue by 25.9
3573
#16
126.00.0
119.8119.8
Auto17.5
Teleop92.6
End19.0
Third
3694
#30
94.70.2
96.096.2
Auto13.6
Teleop76.0
End3.9
blue by 30.7
125.51.1
113.5114.6
Auto16.7
Teleop101.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed