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Red271
3573126.0
369494.7
1648169.6
Blue186
3998155.8
4235104.4
4189144.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236315100200400500271186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.62.3
149.4151.7
Auto17.3
Teleop136.9
End16.9
red by 13.8
155.80.4
147.2147.6
Auto19.8
Teleop120.7
End13.3
Second
3573
#16
126.00.0
119.0119.0
Auto17.5
Teleop92.6
End19.0
blue by 18.4
4189
#14
144.40.5
143.9144.5
Auto16.6
Teleop111.8
End15.7
Third
3694
#30
94.71.5
100.098.6
Auto13.6
Teleop76.0
End3.9
blue by 9.7
4235
#37
104.41.8
103.8105.6
Auto10.7
Teleop87.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed