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Red389
1261131.6
6829172.0
177191.9
Blue183
6712108.3
5651100.1
6750110.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472260100300400500600389183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.02.7
145.8148.5
Auto22.5
Teleop132.1
End15.9
red by 61.5
6750
#22
110.50.5
110.7111.2
Auto17.1
Teleop84.2
End10.9
Second
131.60.8
121.2122.0
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
red by 23.4
6712
#21
108.30.5
106.7107.1
Auto16.4
Teleop75.8
End19.4
Third
1771
#32DQ
91.90.5
100.199.7
Auto13.0
Teleop71.1
End8.1
blue by 8.1
5651
#31
100.11.1
99.3100.3
Auto15.3
Teleop73.3
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed