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Red179
5293103.5
6177121.3
4080112.4
Blue297
1795125.5
5109116.7
4112139.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24530104006008001,000179297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6177
#23
121.30.1
134.4134.2
Auto23.1
Teleop85.9
End12.4
blue by 17.8
4112
#20
139.12.1
127.3129.4
Auto16.3
Teleop95.3
End31.0
Second
4080
#17
112.42.0
107.0105.0
Auto13.9
Teleop88.3
End12.4
blue by 13.1
125.50.9
114.6113.7
Auto16.7
Teleop101.1
End8.2
Third
5293
#27
103.51.7
111.3109.6
Auto14.9
Teleop81.2
End4.6
blue by 13.3
5109
#19
116.72.0
127.0125.0
Auto17.5
Teleop89.9
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed