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Red412
470190.4
4509128.3
3998155.8
Blue212
1261131.6
690590.3
5109116.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2892390100200400500600700412212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.80.0
151.8151.8
Auto19.8
Teleop120.7
End13.3
red by 24.2
131.60.5
127.4127.9
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
Second
4509
#25
128.30.2
120.9121.0
Auto12.1
Teleop102.1
End15.0
red by 11.6
5109
#19
116.71.1
118.1117.0
Auto17.5
Teleop89.9
End10.9
Third
4701
#26
90.40.6
89.488.8
Auto13.3
Teleop71.0
End7.7
red by 0.1
6905
#24
90.30.1
88.888.9
Auto13.5
Teleop76.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed