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Red279
7315103.4
5332113.7
4112139.1
Blue197
513297.0
5074104.9
6829172.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289298100200400500279197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#20
139.11.1
135.6136.7
Auto16.3
Teleop95.3
End31.0
blue by 32.9
172.02.5
169.1171.7
Auto22.5
Teleop132.1
End15.9
Second
5332
#34
113.70.0
113.8113.8
Auto15.2
Teleop88.2
End11.1
red by 8.8
5074
#36
104.90.4
105.2104.8
Auto15.1
Teleop82.1
End12.3
Third
7315
#18
103.41.5
100.3101.8
Auto15.6
Teleop78.2
End8.4
red by 6.4
5132
#33
97.01.9
101.299.3
Auto12.6
Teleop78.3
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed