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Red105
5293103.5
177191.9
4026154.7
Blue364
1648169.6
6842106.2
4468138.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247305100200400500105364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.71.4
153.8155.1
Auto19.5
Teleop125.7
End8.2
blue by 14.9
169.60.2
168.1168.3
Auto17.3
Teleop136.9
End16.9
Second
5293
#27
103.51.8
102.2103.9
Auto14.9
Teleop81.2
End4.6
blue by 35.4
4468
#12
138.90.5
135.4136.0
Auto15.8
Teleop105.5
End17.3
Third
1771
#32
91.90.4
93.493.0
Auto13.0
Teleop71.1
End8.1
blue by 14.3
6842
#13
106.21.5
100.7102.2
Auto17.7
Teleop74.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed