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Red281
690590.3
3573126.0
3998155.8
Blue360
1311140.8
513297.0
1102169.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543260100200400500600700800281360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.81.6
151.8153.4
Auto19.8
Teleop120.7
End13.3
blue by 14.0
169.81.4
161.4162.8
Auto18.4
Teleop127.3
End26.4
Second
3573
#16
126.00.4
122.8123.1
Auto17.5
Teleop92.6
End19.0
blue by 14.9
1311
#10
140.82.3
131.0133.3
Auto14.2
Teleop108.9
End18.5
Third
6905
#24
90.30.2
88.989.1
Auto13.5
Teleop76.4
End3.0
blue by 6.7
5132
#33
97.01.8
99.397.5
Auto12.6
Teleop78.3
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed