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Red397
6177121.3
832166.7
1261131.6
Blue215
573481.0
4189144.4
7315103.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482320100200300400500600700397215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#3
166.72.4
157.2159.6
Auto17.3
Teleop128.0
End22.6
red by 22.3
4189
#14
144.40.2
144.2144.4
Auto16.6
Teleop111.8
End15.7
Second
131.60.5
127.9128.5
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
red by 28.2
7315
#18
103.41.3
101.8103.2
Auto15.6
Teleop78.2
End8.4
Third
6177
#23
121.30.3
118.4118.1
Auto23.1
Teleop85.9
End12.4
red by 40.3
5734
#15
81.01.2
78.179.3
Auto13.7
Teleop62.5
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed