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Red223
7076104.6
5109116.7
7315103.4
Blue438
4112139.1
694497.6
4026154.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113350100300400500600223438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5109
#19
116.70.3
116.3116.1
Auto17.5
Teleop89.9
End10.9
blue by 38.0
154.70.1
155.0155.0
Auto19.5
Teleop125.7
End8.2
Second
7076
#28
104.61.1
103.6104.6
Auto14.2
Teleop82.6
End11.8
blue by 34.5
4112
#20
139.11.0
137.7138.7
Auto16.3
Teleop95.3
End31.0
Third
7315
#18
103.40.6
104.0103.4
Auto15.6
Teleop78.2
End8.4
red by 5.9
6944
#29
97.60.4
97.997.6
Auto11.7
Teleop78.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed