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Red282
1795125.5
6750110.5
6910105.6
Blue312
6712108.3
1261131.6
6705190.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233357100200300400500282312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125.50.4
125.9125.5
Auto16.7
Teleop101.1
End8.2
blue by 64.9
6705
#11
190.41.7
195.0193.3
Auto19.1
Teleop153.1
End17.3
Second
6750
#22
110.51.8
108.7110.5
Auto17.1
Teleop84.2
End10.9
blue by 21.1
131.61.2
129.6130.8
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
Third
6910
#35
105.60.1
105.5105.6
Auto13.9
Teleop87.4
End4.8
blue by 2.7
6712
#21
108.30.1
108.4108.2
Auto16.4
Teleop75.8
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed