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Quarterfinal 1-22018 PCH District Gainesville Event
Red304
829176.6
6705170.9
7104110.3
Blue325
4188131.6
6177139.6
1683114.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378262100200300500600700304325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#2
176.60.6
173.7→174.3
Auto18.9
Teleop140.8
End15.1
red by 37.0
6177
#10
139.60.3
139.0→139.3
Auto20.5
Teleop104.8
End14.0
Second
6705
#1
170.90.9
166.1→167.0
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
red by 39.3
4188
#16
131.60.3
130.9→131.2
Auto15.3
Teleop103.3
End15.0
Third
7104
#37
110.30.4
108.3→108.8
Auto14.7
Teleop83.3
End12.9
blue by 3.9
1683
#29
114.20.8
112.6→113.4
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End9.2