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Red304
829176.6
6705170.9
7104110.3
Blue181
1311120.8
1225127.9
4112127.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379249100200300500600700304181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#2
176.60.5
174.8175.2
Auto18.9
Teleop140.8
End15.1
red by 48.7
127.90.3
127.4127.7
Auto12.1
Teleop104.5
End12.3
Second
170.90.7
167.8168.6
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
red by 43.5
4112
#18
127.30.8
126.5127.3
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End22.8
Third
7104
#37
110.30.3
109.1109.4
Auto14.7
Teleop83.3
End12.9
blue by 10.5
1311
#11
120.80.2
120.5120.7
Auto13.2
Teleop98.7
End9.4