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Red341
829176.6
6705170.9
7104110.3
Blue151
4188131.6
6177139.6
1683114.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376264100200300500600700341151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#2
176.60.5
174.3174.8
Auto18.9
Teleop140.8
End15.1
red by 37.0
6177
#10
139.60.3
139.3139.6
Auto20.5
Teleop104.8
End14.0
Second
170.90.8
167.0167.8
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
red by 39.3
4188
#16
131.60.4
131.2131.6
Auto15.3
Teleop103.3
End15.0
Third
7104
#37
110.30.4
108.8109.1
Auto14.7
Teleop83.3
End12.9
blue by 3.9
1683
#29
114.20.8
113.4114.2
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End9.2