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Red269
1414132.8
3494136.6
1795114.6
Blue304
1311120.8
1225127.9
4112127.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302273100200400500600269304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136.61.0
134.5135.6
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End28.8
red by 8.7
127.90.1
127.2127.3
Auto12.1
Teleop104.5
End12.3
Second
1414
#15
132.80.4
132.0132.4
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End9.6
red by 5.4
4112
#18
127.30.7
125.0125.8
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End22.8
Third
1795
#27
114.60.4
115.3114.9
Auto13.3
Teleop94.5
End5.8
blue by 6.2
1311
#11
120.80.0
120.4120.4
Auto13.2
Teleop98.7
End9.4