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Red419
587137.4
4189143.9
829176.6
Blue164
1683114.2
1746130.4
5582115.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317266100200400500419164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#2
176.66.6
132.2138.7
Auto18.9
Teleop140.8
End15.1
red by 46.2
1746
#20
130.46.7
135.1141.9
Auto15.2
Teleop105.1
End10.4
Second
143.93.8
125.0128.8
Auto17.5
Teleop111.5
End16.5
red by 28.4
5582
#26
115.64.8
107.6112.4
Auto16.8
Teleop89.7
End6.0
Third
587
#9
137.41.2
115.9117.2
Auto18.4
Teleop103.6
End15.2
red by 23.2
1683
#29
114.20.6
113.4114.0
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed