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Red195
5632104.0
5482127.0
6919114.2
Blue83
4235103.8
4749120.6
6829111.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions260185010030040050019583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#17
127.07.1
109.2116.3
Auto14.3
Teleop96.8
End16.2
red by 6.4
4749
#24
120.63.1
99.8102.9
Auto14.3
Teleop94.9
End12.0
Second
6919
#12
114.22.5
90.092.6
Auto15.9
Teleop89.1
End11.2
red by 3.0
6829
#28
111.20.1
90.089.9
Auto12.2
Teleop86.7
End14.5
Third
5632
#25
104.00.6
109.6109.0
Auto15.3
Teleop76.5
End15.4
red by 0.3
4235
#30
103.82.7
94.997.6
Auto11.2
Teleop83.6
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed