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Red208
4926122.6
6910116.7
7104110.3
Blue300
5109127.0
1414132.8
3494136.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123000100400500600208300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#23
122.61.4
111.1112.5
Auto13.9
Teleop95.8
End10.1
blue by 14.0
136.61.3
110.5111.8
Auto18.6
Teleop96.1
End28.8
Second
6910
#31
116.74.9
98.7103.6
Auto13.3
Teleop97.9
End3.9
blue by 16.1
1414
#15
132.83.8
112.3116.1
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End9.6
Third
7104
#37
110.32.2
91.793.9
Auto14.7
Teleop83.3
End12.9
blue by 16.8
5109
#22
127.07.2
114.0121.2
Auto18.4
Teleop95.1
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed