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Red279
1683114.2
6705170.9
4112127.3
Blue247
4749120.6
1648133.7
1746130.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296304100200400500279247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.913.6
97.0110.5
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
red by 37.2
1648
#13
133.714.2
91.4105.5
Auto15.1
Teleop105.3
End11.0
Second
4112
#18
127.314.6
86.9101.6
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End22.8
blue by 3.0
1746
#20
130.412.3
109.1121.4
Auto15.2
Teleop105.1
End10.4
Third
1683
#29
114.215.0
83.898.7
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End9.2
blue by 6.4
4749
#24DQ
120.616.2
72.788.9
Auto14.3
Teleop94.9
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed