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Red149
1225127.9
5132113.3
4188131.6
Blue127
2415148.1
6325108.5
6925112.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292297150200250350400450149127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#16
131.613.1
101.4114.5
Auto15.3
Teleop103.3
End15.0
blue by 16.5
148.112.6
105.9118.5
Auto23.3
Teleop112.6
End12.6
Second
127.915.8
76.792.5
Auto12.1
Teleop104.5
End12.3
red by 15.4
6925
#21
112.531.1
108.977.7
Auto13.8
Teleop88.0
End16.0
Third
5132
#34
113.315.2
81.797.0
Auto13.1
Teleop92.1
End5.2
red by 4.8
6325
#40
108.514.1
91.6105.8
Auto13.3
Teleop87.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed