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Red60
1795114.6
1311120.8
688799.2
Blue303
6910116.7
6471126.3
6705170.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23732310020030040050060303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#11
120.82.4
121.9124.3
Auto13.2
Teleop98.7
End9.4
blue by 50.1
170.94.2
151.0155.2
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
Second
1795
#27
114.63.2
110.2113.4
Auto13.3
Teleop94.5
End5.8
blue by 11.7
6471
#14
126.30.8
119.8120.6
Auto16.2
Teleop99.5
End10.3
Third
6887
#36
99.21.7
94.095.7
Auto15.1
Teleop75.0
End10.7
blue by 17.5
6910
#31
116.71.3
116.0117.3
Auto13.3
Teleop97.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed