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Red77
5608101.8
1414132.8
5482127.0
Blue227
1648133.7
4189143.9
4188131.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24931910020040050077227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#15
132.80.4
128.8128.5
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End9.6
blue by 11.2
143.91.7
137.8139.5
Auto17.5
Teleop111.5
End16.5
Second
5482
#17
127.02.6
126.5129.1
Auto14.3
Teleop96.8
End16.2
blue by 6.7
1648
#13
133.72.7
123.4126.1
Auto15.1
Teleop105.3
End11.0
Third
5608
#32
101.82.5
113.7111.1
Auto12.6
Teleop79.4
End12.0
blue by 29.8
4188
#16
131.60.3
130.3130.0
Auto15.3
Teleop103.3
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed