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Red246
6829111.2
1225127.9
1648133.7
Blue383
7104110.3
5582115.6
6705170.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212590100200400500600246383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#13
133.72.5
127.7130.2
Auto15.1
Teleop105.3
End11.0
blue by 37.2
170.92.0
157.7159.7
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
Second
127.94.3
119.2123.5
Auto12.1
Teleop104.5
End12.3
red by 12.3
5582
#26
115.61.1
117.7116.6
Auto16.8
Teleop89.7
End6.0
Third
6829
#28
111.24.5
98.6103.1
Auto12.2
Teleop86.7
End14.5
red by 0.9
7104
#37
110.30.2
105.6105.8
Auto14.7
Teleop83.3
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed