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Red100
4926122.6
5109127.0
688799.2
Blue381
1102146.8
4188131.6
4112127.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239341100200300400500600100381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5109
#22
127.01.2
132.8131.6
Auto18.4
Teleop95.1
End10.1
blue by 19.7
146.84.4
134.3138.8
Auto16.9
Teleop112.3
End19.6
Second
4926
#23
122.63.0
118.1121.1
Auto13.9
Teleop95.8
End10.1
blue by 9.0
4188
#16
131.60.1
129.7129.8
Auto15.3
Teleop103.3
End15.0
Third
6887
#36
99.22.3
94.696.9
Auto15.1
Teleop75.0
End10.7
blue by 28.1
4112
#18
127.31.5
120.2121.7
Auto16.4
Teleop92.4
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed