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Red200
706090.2
1414132.8
326598.3
Blue369
4235103.8
6705170.9
565199.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1863060100400500200369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#15
132.81.3
130.7132.0
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End9.6
blue by 38.1
170.92.8
162.3165.1
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
Second
3265
#38
98.30.6
98.998.3
Auto11.3
Teleop81.5
End5.0
blue by 5.5
4235
#30
103.81.3
102.5103.8
Auto11.2
Teleop83.6
End10.9
Third
7060
#35
90.20.4
89.890.2
Auto13.6
Teleop74.3
End1.8
blue by 9.1
5651
#33
99.30.3
99.099.3
Auto13.9
Teleop79.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed