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Red202
1311120.8
1648133.7
5482127.0
Blue191
1746130.4
1795114.6
1102146.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257302100150200350400450500202191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#13
133.71.2
132.0133.2
Auto15.1
Teleop105.3
End11.0
blue by 13.1
146.83.2
142.1145.3
Auto16.9
Teleop112.3
End19.6
Second
5482
#17
127.00.2
127.3127.1
Auto14.3
Teleop96.8
End16.2
blue by 3.4
1746
#20
130.40.4
130.9131.3
Auto15.2
Teleop105.1
End10.4
Third
1311
#11
120.80.3
120.1120.4
Auto13.2
Teleop98.7
End9.4
red by 6.2
1795
#27
114.60.7
116.0115.3
Auto13.3
Teleop94.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed