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Red218
2974174.4
1261129.9
4516103.8
Blue201
4910200.0
6340138.8
529391.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317312200250350400450218201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.40.1
175.2175.3
Auto24.5
Teleop135.2
End14.4
blue by 25.6
200.02.3
209.6207.3
Auto20.2
Teleop152.7
End29.9
Second
1261
#22
129.90.5
137.3137.8
Auto17.5
Teleop100.6
End7.7
blue by 8.9
6340
#15
138.80.3
143.7144.1
Auto15.3
Teleop108.8
End16.8
Third
4516
#26
103.81.3
104.8106.1
Auto15.0
Teleop82.3
End5.0
red by 12.3
5293
#28
91.42.3
102.099.7
Auto13.4
Teleop73.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed