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Red249
1648180.9
690591.8
1683142.0
Blue213
334496.4
6341126.9
3815111.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3671720600800249213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.91.7
196.6194.9
Auto17.8
Teleop148.8
End10.3
red by 54.0
6341
#25
126.91.8
137.4135.6
Auto13.0
Teleop102.3
End8.9
Second
1683
#21
142.01.4
143.4144.8
Auto17.6
Teleop115.6
End5.3
red by 30.1
3815
#29
111.80.7
115.8115.1
Auto13.5
Teleop93.1
End2.5
Third
6905
#19
91.80.5
91.191.6
Auto13.4
Teleop78.9
End1.0
blue by 4.6
3344
#14
96.40.2
91.291.5
Auto14.8
Teleop74.9
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed