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Red290
3374147.3
1574218.0
4488197.6
Blue307
368177.9
1817145.4
3674172.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063110100200500600700800290307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.00.2
217.9218.0
Auto23.0
Teleop162.9
End30.0
red by 40.1
368
#19
177.90.4
177.1177.6
Auto23.3
Teleop129.1
End24.4
Second
197.60.5
196.7197.2
Auto23.2
Teleop140.5
End34.7
red by 25.5
3674
#10
172.00.3
171.5171.8
Auto19.9
Teleop122.8
End27.0
Third
3374
#53
147.30.2
147.1147.3
Auto22.5
Teleop113.7
End10.3
red by 1.9
1817
#20
145.40.3
144.8145.1
Auto18.0
Teleop111.4
End13.6