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Red410
3965147.2
1574218.0
4488197.6
Blue87
368177.9
1817145.4
3674172.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39734510020030050060070041087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.00.0
218.0218.0
Auto23.0
Teleop162.9
End30.0
red by 40.1
368
#19
177.90.4
177.6177.9
Auto23.3
Teleop129.1
End24.4
Second
197.60.3
197.2197.6
Auto23.2
Teleop140.5
End34.7
red by 25.5
3674
#10
172.00.3
171.8172.0
Auto19.9
Teleop122.8
End27.0
Third
3965
#38
147.20.4
146.8147.2
Auto20.5
Teleop102.1
End27.8
red by 1.8
1817
#20
145.40.3
145.1145.4
Auto18.0
Teleop111.4
End13.6