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Red320
64793.2
6886161.8
5857123.5
Blue282
3933143.4
4610121.1
7277117.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292297200250350400320282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6886
#23
161.80.7
162.5161.8
Auto21.6
Teleop121.4
End15.3
red by 18.4
3933
#35
143.40.7
142.3142.9
Auto19.9
Teleop108.2
End17.1
Second
5857
#48
123.50.2
123.6123.5
Auto15.7
Teleop99.0
End8.5
red by 2.4
4610
#49
121.10.6
120.5121.1
Auto16.0
Teleop87.4
End18.3
Third
647
#65
93.20.1
93.093.2
Auto8.3
Teleop77.3
End8.7
blue by 24.0
7277
#50
117.20.4
116.8117.2
Auto18.9
Teleop84.9
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed