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Red206
4635189.4
6168129.2
2468167.6
Blue395
846173.0
6357124.6
2682159.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319355200400500206395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#27
189.41.2
191.8190.6
Auto29.4
Teleop141.9
End16.7
red by 16.4
846
#5
173.01.1
170.8171.9
Auto24.3
Teleop136.0
End13.4
Second
2468
#32
167.60.5
167.5168.0
Auto24.3
Teleop127.5
End12.8
red by 8.0
2682
#15
159.60.7
158.9159.6
Auto20.4
Teleop116.4
End23.1
Third
6168
#55
129.21.5
127.7129.2
Auto20.3
Teleop93.0
End18.6
red by 4.6
6357
#22
124.61.8
122.8124.6
Auto17.1
Teleop94.5
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed