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Red354
4201144.3
5630116.1
368177.9
Blue245
5190213.1
3103109.0
4205118.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643760100200300500600700800354245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#19
177.90.4
165.1165.4
Auto23.3
Teleop129.1
End24.4
blue by 35.1
5190
#16
213.11.1
213.7214.8
Auto25.2
Teleop161.1
End26.3
Second
4201
#47
144.30.5
141.9141.4
Auto22.3
Teleop114.0
End7.9
red by 25.9
4205
#56
118.30.3
123.3123.0
Auto17.5
Teleop90.8
End11.6
Third
5630
#18
116.10.6
107.9108.5
Auto17.3
Teleop83.5
End18.0
red by 7.1
3103
#58
109.00.5
110.3110.8
Auto17.4
Teleop77.1
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed