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Red262
4010131.4
1817145.4
6026139.8
Blue452
1577196.7
3937186.4
3933143.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2264360100300500600700800262452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#20
145.40.9
133.8134.7
Auto18.0
Teleop111.4
End13.6
blue by 51.3
196.70.0
198.1198.1
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
Second
6026
#52
139.80.8
141.4140.6
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End12.4
blue by 46.6
3937
#21
186.40.3
180.5180.8
Auto22.3
Teleop139.7
End22.3
Third
4010
#40
131.41.3
117.8119.1
Auto18.4
Teleop102.8
End11.5
blue by 12.0
3933
#35
143.41.7
146.1144.3
Auto19.9
Teleop108.2
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsEarned