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Red173
3653150.0
6168129.2
6817103.9
Blue300
3965147.2
6824126.7
5145137.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453450100200300400500600700800173300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3653
#33
150.00.9
143.0143.9
Auto17.9
Teleop112.7
End18.7
red by 2.9
3965
#38
147.21.4
132.7134.1
Auto20.5
Teleop102.1
End27.8
Second
6168
#55
129.20.1
122.6122.7
Auto20.3
Teleop93.0
End18.6
blue by 8.2
5145
#28
137.40.0
139.6139.6
Auto17.1
Teleop107.3
End16.0
Third
6817
#39
103.90.3
104.5104.2
Auto15.1
Teleop78.8
End12.8
blue by 22.8
6824
#46
126.70.5
125.8125.2
Auto20.4
Teleop93.6
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed