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Red392
649164.7
4451180.7
6898119.9
Blue190
4256136.6
5857123.5
4091139.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36228502006008001,0001,2001,4001,600392190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
180.71.8
176.1174.3
Auto23.2
Teleop134.4
End24.8
red by 41.0
4091
#54
139.71.5
132.3133.8
Auto17.4
Teleop98.4
End25.8
Second
649
#37
164.70.4
157.1157.5
Auto21.3
Teleop132.9
End12.2
red by 28.1
4256
#30
136.61.5
128.6130.2
Auto16.5
Teleop105.2
End14.4
Third
6898
#41
119.90.9
119.4118.5
Auto18.1
Teleop91.6
End10.8
blue by 3.5
5857
#48
123.52.3
125.3127.6
Auto15.7
Teleop99.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed