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Red412
4205118.3
4091139.7
1574218.0
Blue177
5145137.4
1197171.4
7106100.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682780100200500600700412177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.00.3
218.1217.8
Auto23.0
Teleop162.9
End30.0
red by 46.6
1197
#29
171.40.6
175.3174.7
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
Second
4091
#54
139.70.2
133.8134.1
Auto17.4
Teleop98.4
End25.8
red by 2.3
5145
#28Sur
137.40.7
139.6140.3
Auto17.1
Teleop107.3
End16.0
Third
4205
#56Sur
118.31.2
123.0121.7
Auto17.5
Teleop90.8
End11.6
red by 18.2
7106
#64
100.11.1
111.5110.4
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed