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Red323
3103109.0
3937186.4
5515124.2
Blue355
6833133.0
2789120.2
3005197.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923560100200400500600700323355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#21
186.40.9
180.8181.7
Auto22.3
Teleop139.7
End22.3
blue by 11.1
197.40.2
194.1193.9
Auto26.0
Teleop148.2
End20.0
Second
5515
#68
124.21.1
128.6127.5
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End14.7
blue by 8.8
6833
#66
133.01.5
146.2144.7
Auto16.3
Teleop98.8
End15.0
Third
3103
#58
109.00.5
110.8110.3
Auto17.4
Teleop77.1
End15.2
blue by 11.2
2789
#36
120.20.4
113.6114.0
Auto17.3
Teleop91.0
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed