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Red272
4924107.5
6168129.2
4256136.6
Blue421
4587181.1
1577196.7
6999100.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1944310100300500600700272421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#30
136.60.3
130.2130.4
Auto16.5
Teleop105.2
End14.4
blue by 60.2
196.70.6
198.1198.7
Auto23.0
Teleop139.6
End32.7
Second
6168
#55
129.20.4
122.7122.3
Auto20.3
Teleop93.0
End18.6
blue by 51.9
4587
#43
181.10.8
184.8184.0
Auto22.8
Teleop137.6
End22.6
Third
4924
#67
107.50.2
107.8108.1
Auto17.9
Teleop76.3
End13.7
red by 6.8
6999
#63
100.70.6
103.0102.4
Auto14.8
Teleop76.0
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsMissed