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Red275
2468167.6
4488197.6
5630116.1
Blue291
2789120.2
64793.2
4587181.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3672680100200300400500275291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.60.7
188.5189.2
Auto23.2
Teleop140.5
End34.7
red by 16.5
4587
#43
181.10.3
184.0183.6
Auto22.8
Teleop137.6
End22.6
Second
2468
#32
167.61.3
171.5170.2
Auto24.3
Teleop127.5
End12.8
red by 47.4
2789
#36
120.20.2
114.0113.7
Auto17.3
Teleop91.0
End13.3
Third
5630
#18
116.10.7
109.8110.5
Auto17.3
Teleop83.5
End18.0
red by 22.9
647
#65
93.21.1
95.794.5
Auto8.3
Teleop77.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed