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Red410
3674172.0
4451180.7
5960115.7
Blue121
7106100.1
3230169.6
3103109.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762460100200300500600410121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
180.70.3
173.6173.8
Auto23.2
Teleop134.4
End24.8
red by 11.0
3230
#57
169.61.3
176.1174.8
Auto20.2
Teleop129.8
End18.8
Second
3674
#10
172.00.3
163.7164.0
Auto19.9
Teleop122.8
End27.0
red by 63.0
3103
#58
109.00.1
110.3110.2
Auto17.4
Teleop77.1
End15.2
Third
5960
#45
115.70.5
114.7114.1
Auto16.9
Teleop86.8
End14.1
red by 15.6
7106
#64
100.11.9
110.4108.4
Auto15.3
Teleop75.9
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed