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Red339
4205118.3
4910211.2
3965147.2
Blue412
4610121.1
6831164.4
3005197.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351355250300400450339412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4910
#17
211.20.7
217.5218.2
Auto22.0
Teleop160.9
End25.6
red by 13.8
197.40.6
193.9193.3
Auto26.0
Teleop148.2
End20.0
Second
3965
#38
147.21.7
135.7137.4
Auto20.5
Teleop102.1
End27.8
blue by 17.2
6831
#25
164.40.8
165.1165.9
Auto19.6
Teleop117.6
End27.8
Third
4205
#56
118.30.2
121.7121.5
Auto17.5
Teleop90.8
End11.6
blue by 2.8
4610
#49
121.10.6
119.2118.6
Auto16.0
Teleop87.4
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed