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Red136
6304103.6
3526155.3
1311157.4
Blue493
6026139.8
2485183.8
701137.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336333150250300350400450136493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#44
157.41.0
159.0160.1
Auto17.2
Teleop120.0
End19.4
blue by 26.4
2485
#26
183.81.7
176.7178.4
Auto22.7
Teleop132.6
End28.2
Second
3526
#51
155.30.0
166.6166.6
Auto19.7
Teleop119.4
End16.5
red by 15.5
6026
#52
139.81.7
140.1138.4
Auto17.2
Teleop108.9
End12.4
Third
6304
#59
103.60.7
112.5113.3
Auto18.2
Teleop80.6
End2.5
blue by 33.6
701
#61
137.22.1
147.4145.2
Auto24.5
Teleop105.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed