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Red334
1197171.4
1939154.6
4488197.6
Blue242
6429177.3
1817145.4
4451180.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3663370200600800334242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.60.1
189.2189.4
Auto23.2
Teleop140.5
End34.7
red by 16.9
4451
#11
180.70.7
173.8174.5
Auto23.2
Teleop134.4
End24.8
Second
1197
#29
171.41.6
174.7173.1
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
blue by 5.9
6429
#24
177.30.1
183.8183.7
Auto24.9
Teleop140.8
End8.2
Third
1939
#12
154.61.4
148.8150.1
Auto16.8
Teleop118.3
End19.5
red by 9.2
1817
#20
145.41.3
135.4136.7
Auto18.0
Teleop111.4
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed