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Red488
6886161.8
3005197.4
4010131.4
Blue287
1311157.4
4587181.1
2682159.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3173650200600800488287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
197.40.2
193.3193.1
Auto26.0
Teleop148.2
End20.0
red by 16.4
4587
#43
181.10.4
183.6184.0
Auto22.8
Teleop137.6
End22.6
Second
6886
#23
161.80.8
164.1163.3
Auto21.6
Teleop121.4
End15.3
red by 2.2
2682
#15
159.60.2
159.7159.6
Auto20.4
Teleop116.4
End23.1
Third
4010
#40
131.42.0
121.9123.9
Auto18.4
Teleop102.8
End11.5
blue by 25.9
1311
#44
157.40.6
160.1159.4
Auto17.2
Teleop120.0
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed