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Red435
3674172.0
3965147.2
5817161.7
Blue266
2485183.8
5960115.7
3933143.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341330100200300400500600435266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#10
172.00.7
164.0164.8
Auto19.9
Teleop122.8
End27.0
blue by 11.8
2485
#26
183.82.1
178.4180.6
Auto22.7
Teleop132.6
End28.2
Second
161.71.3
146.9148.2
Auto17.3
Teleop119.2
End29.2
red by 18.3
3933
#35
143.40.4
142.0141.6
Auto19.9
Teleop108.2
End17.1
Third
3965
#38
147.21.1
137.4138.6
Auto20.5
Teleop102.1
End27.8
red by 31.4
5960
#45
115.70.0
114.1114.1
Auto16.9
Teleop86.8
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsMissed