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Red270
4910211.2
3006108.3
3526155.3
Blue335
5145137.4
2659171.6
2789120.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3902710100200500600700270335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4910
#17
211.20.3
218.2218.4
Auto22.0
Teleop160.9
End25.6
red by 39.6
2659
#14
171.60.6
172.2171.6
Auto27.7
Teleop123.0
End19.7
Second
3526
#51
155.31.5
166.6165.1
Auto19.7
Teleop119.4
End16.5
red by 17.9
5145
#28
137.41.0
139.3138.3
Auto17.1
Teleop107.3
End16.0
Third
3006
#62
108.30.7
104.9105.6
Auto16.6
Teleop84.6
End9.0
blue by 11.9
2789
#36
120.20.5
113.7114.2
Auto17.3
Teleop91.0
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed