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Red254
7277117.2
6817103.9
4613210.1
Blue328
3103109.0
6357124.6
1197171.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542370100200300400500600700254328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
210.10.6
205.8206.4
Auto24.7
Teleop156.0
End27.9
red by 38.7
1197
#29
171.41.3
173.1171.8
Auto18.2
Teleop135.0
End17.6
Second
7277
#50
117.20.9
114.7115.5
Auto18.9
Teleop84.9
End15.3
blue by 7.4
6357
#22
124.60.2
116.6116.4
Auto17.1
Teleop94.5
End13.2
Third
6817
#39
103.90.3
102.6102.3
Auto15.1
Teleop78.8
End12.8
blue by 5.1
3103
#58
109.00.7
110.2109.5
Auto17.4
Teleop77.1
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed