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Red297
4091139.7
3965147.2
4635189.4
Blue415
6886161.8
368177.9
6833133.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360359250300400450500297415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#27
189.42.4
189.7192.1
Auto29.4
Teleop141.9
End16.7
red by 11.5
368
#19
177.90.8
167.8168.6
Auto23.3
Teleop129.1
End24.4
Second
3965
#38
147.21.8
138.6140.4
Auto20.5
Teleop102.1
End27.8
blue by 14.6
6886
#23
161.80.5
163.3163.8
Auto21.6
Teleop121.4
End15.3
Third
4091
#54
139.70.7
135.0135.7
Auto17.4
Teleop98.4
End25.8
red by 6.7
6833
#66
133.01.7
143.0141.4
Auto16.3
Teleop98.8
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed